What Do the Elections Tell U.S.? #92

Deepnews Digest #92

What Do the Elections Tell U.S.?

Editor: Christopher Brennan
The votes are cast, and all that remains is the final counting in key states. As of the sending of this Digest, Joe Biden’s supporters anticipate him reaching the 270 electoral votes needed to become the next president. Beyond the top headline, however, there are the more nuanced stories that brought us to this point, from which demographics showed up to the reliability of polls, legal challenges and more. While pieces in last week’s Digest projected what would happen, this week uses the power of Deepnews.ai’s technology to look back at what we can learn from the results we know thus far.
Editor’s note
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Published every Thursday

Bloomberg

Trumpism Is Here to Stay, No Matter Who’s in the White House

As the ballot-counting drags on, President Trump’s fate is still unsettled. The fate of Trumpism, on the other hand, is clear: It isn’t going away. And Trump himself may remain in the political spotlight even if he loses.

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ProPublica

Can Donald Trump sue his way to a second term in the White House?

It is easy for the incumbent president to file a lawsuit claiming improprieties, but a lot harder to provide evidence of wrongdoing.

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The Herald Scotland

Sir John Curtice: Pollsters in dock again but it’s commentators who got it wrong

Even on the other side of the world, the Sydney Morning Herald was moved to opine the result of the US presidential election represented “a failure of mainstream opinion polling”.

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New York Times

What if It Does All Come Down to Omaha?

OMAHA — Tony Vargas stood on a street corner here on Election Day trying to rally passing drivers to re-elect him as state senator. A few blocks away was a meatpacking plant where workers walked off the job earlier this year after fears their bosses weren’t being transparent about a rising number of Covid cases inside. In the other direction was a polling place where Black and Latino voters lined up to cast ballots.

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TIME

Even If Joe Biden Wins, He Will Govern in Donald Trump’s America

The car horns blared as Joe Biden took the stage just before 1 a.m.—not to proclaim victory, but to urge his supporters not to lose hope, no matter what President Donald Trump might say. “We believe we are on track to win this election,” the former Vice President told the crowd in Wilmington, Del., on Nov. 4. “It ain’t over until every vote is counted. Keep the faith, guys.”

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Vox

How ballots are actually counted, explained by 3 election officials

Local election officials across the nation are responsible for tallying votes. Here’s how they do it.

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Al Jazeera

Trump’s election legal strategy is last-ditch effort: Experts

Washington, DC — In the early hours of Wednesday morning, President Donald Trump promised his supporters, with ballots still being counted and the election undecided: “We’ll be going to the US Supreme Court.”

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Fox News

John Yoo: Trump-Biden presidential race could be decided by Pennsylvania case before Supreme Court

With the presidential election still undecided, President Trump’s campaign has launched a flurry of lawsuits in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada and Georgia. The suits raise a range of claims. These include the exclusion of observers from vote-counting rooms, voting by non-residents, and even the counting of votes listed as being cast by people who have died.

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The Nation

Trump Doesn’t Have a Path to Victory Through the Courts

While the election remains uncomfortably close, Trump’s attempts to use far-fetched legal arguments to stop vote counting in states like Pennsylvania are unlikely to succeed.

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Editor’s Note:

One of the recurring issues in this Digest is the role of the courts. Here our model highlighted a piece from the left-leaning Nation arguing against the idea that Trump’s legal challenges may be decisive. Above, former George W. Bush admin official John Yoo puts forth the conservative argument at Fox that the U.S. Supreme Court, and new justice Amy Coney Barrett, may play a role in the weeks ahead. – Christopher Brennan, Editor

Salon

Presidents presiding over recessions usually lose in a landslide. Why didn’t Trump?

Incumbents are usually punished by voters for economic crises of this magnitude. Not Trump

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Indian Express

The long day after

Trump’s rise was a negation of egalitarian trends of five decades. He has 48 per cent of popular vote

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Bloomberg

Fed Has the Economy’s Weight on Its Shoulders Again

The prospect of a divided U.S. government dims the chances for robust fiscal stimulus, leaving the central bank to resort to its old toolkit.

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Wall Street Journal ($)

What Went Wrong With the Polls This Year?

Pollsters grapple with errors for second consecutive presidential cycle, as many surveys underestimate support for President Trump and fellow Republicans

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Tampa Bay Times

‘Total systemic failure’: Florida Democrats suffer devastating election losses

MIAMI — For Florida Democrats, President Donald Trump’s decisive victory in Florida and down-ballot carnage, particularly in Miami-Dade County, should not have been a surprise.

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Editor’s Note:

It was the swing state that didn’t swing. Here Deepnews picked up good local reporting from Mary Ellen Klas digging into what happened in Florida, which disappointed many Democrats on election night. – Christopher Brennan, Editor

Slate

What It’s Like for a Voting Rights Activist to Finally See Georgia in Play

Assumptions about who service members support may be changing—and party tactics might too.

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Irish Times

Even if Joe Biden wins, Democrats should be chastened

After four years of head-spinning drama and churning news cycles, a presidential election in the time of Donald Trump was never going to conclude quietly.

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Arizona Daily Star

Is Arizona really sending two Democrats to the Senate? Sort of

Arizona could soon have two Democratic senators for the first time in 67 years, but don’t expect the state’s representation in Washington, D.C., to suddenly lurch to the left.

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Washington Post

U.S. race tiring even in Canada

On Tuesday night, I attempted to do a livestream of the U.S. election on my YouTube channel — a common YouTuber practice I thought my audience might enjoy. But anxiety quickly consumed me. I cut it short before even the safe states were called.

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POLITICO

Three Reasons Biden Flipped the Midwest

But while it’s too early to name a winner, it’s certainly not too early to examine some key results in the places that denied Democrats the presidency four years ago — and that now stand ready to make Biden the 46th president of the United States.

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Jerusalem Post

US elections bring neither a victory celebration nor a protest march

WASHINGTON – Americans are used to getting answers at the touch of a screen or mouse – or in the case of a presidential election, at least on the same day as the vote.As the nation encountered the unique scenario of having to wait for the results of the contested race between US President Donald Trump and challenger Joe Biden, there was almost a freeze-frame atmosphere in Washington, DC, on Wednesday.

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The Conversation

Congress could select the president in a disputed election

President Donald Trump’s campaign is challenging results of battleground states with lawsuits, hoping to litigate its way to a win 2020 election. But the Founding Fathers meant for Congress – not the courts – to be the backup plan if the Electoral College result was disputed or did not produce a winner.

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Arizona Republic

Arizona has been pulled further blue over the past several years. Will it continue?

Arizona’s political realignment is coming into sharper focus, and while Republicans still can win some key races, they can’t like the bigger picture of what they see.

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Editor’s Note:

Another major battleground on Tuesday was Arizona, which as of this writing has flipped from Trump in 2016 to Biden this year. Here the team at the Republic explores the changes behind the shift and what it means going forward. – Christopher Brennan, Editor

New York Times

A Big Win for Democrats in California Came With a Gut Check for Liberals

OAKLAND, Calif. — The message that California voters sent in the presidential election was unequivocal: With almost two-thirds of ballots counted so far going for Joseph R. Biden Jr., the nation’s most populous state put up mammoth numbers for the Democrats. But dig a little deeper into the results and a more complex picture of the Golden State voter emerges, of strong libertarian impulses and resistance to some quintessentially liberal ideas.

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Des Moines Register

Donald Trump drives voter turnout in Iowa, lifting Republicans down the ballot

Though Democrats invested millions of dollars in races across Iowa, they saw few bright spots as returns began rolling in.

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Maryland Matters

Pollsters Missed the Mark Again — Md. Political Pros Ponder What Happened

As ballots from Tuesday’s election continue to be tallied, America finds itself in the throes of an ever-tightening presidential race that no one really saw coming.

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